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The May 2020 employment modelling used to inform Arataki Version 2 is below.
Arataki V2 used the information to compare how various regions and industries would be impacted by COVID-19. The data is also useful for supporting Regional Land Transport Plans, revisiting demand assumptions on key corridors, inputting into the spatial planning process and considering possible support for vulnerable communities. The modelling produced employment forecasts for each region and district over three time periods – 2021, 2025 and 2031 – with the information we had to hand in May 2020. The 2021 forecasts carry greater certainty as they reflected the impacts of current events. The 2025 and 2031 forecasts are less certain because of the potential for significant shifts over that time.
In the 12 months since Arataki V2 was updated, the economy performed better than expected from initial projections. In light of this, Waka Kotahi commissioned an update to its 2020 report.
Employment modelling – updated May 2021
Use the buttons to view different scenarios and projections with the May 2020 employment modelling data.
You can also access the raw data in a spreadsheet(external link)
If you have any questions about this data or how to use the dashboard, contact us at arataki@nzta.govt.nz