Regionally and nationally significant activities in 2027-30

Ongoing maintenance of our transport assets and the delivery of public transport services will continue to remain a significant focus for investment in the 2027- 30 NLTP, along with meeting the Government’s expectations for Roads of National Significance and Roads of Regional Significance, the Waitemata additional crossing and key public transport projects in Auckland and the lower North Island.

Significant regional activities identified in RLTPs that are expected to be considered for funding in the 2027-30 NLTP include:

Canterbury

  • Christchurch – Northcote Road Corridor Improvements
  • Hurunui - Carters Road Improvements, Amberley
  • Timaru – Upper Orari Bridge replacement.

Wellington

  • Greater Porirua – Papakōwhai to Paremata Access Project
  • Porirua – Railway Station Transit Development

Nelson

  • Tasman – Tasman Public Transport Park ‘n Ride
  • Tasman – Richmond Bus interchange

West Coast

  • Franz Josef Master Plan and Flood protection works
  • South Island Freight Plan

Auckland

  • Bus Improvements in Henderson
  • Point Chevalier; Ferry Charging and Infrastructure Stage 2

Revenue and Expenditure 2024/25 to 2033/34

Revenue forecast

The revenue forecast comprises fuel excise duty, road user charges, motor vehicle registry fees and track user charges provided by the Ministry of Transport and includes increases to MVR and FED/RUC set out in the GPS 2024. Revenue will vary from forecast (and potentially outside the indicated forecast range) depending on a range of factors, including economic conditions and performance.

Net revenue also includes:

  • Crown funding of about $6 billion ($1 billion for Rail, $3.1 billion capital grant, plus $1 billion tagged contingency and $0.9 billion to support recovery post the North Island Weather Events in 2023)
  • a $3.08 billion financing facility from the Crown that is expected to be fully used during the 2024-27 NLTP
  • deductions for debt service including interest and principal repayments on debt and public private partnerships of about $7.5 billion over the decade.

Additional revenue from alternate funding sources (e.g. new tolls, time of use charge, value capture) is not included in the forecast but will be necessary to support expenditure intentions beyond FY27 (refer below).

Expenditure forecast

Forecast expenditure is illustrated in two ways.

The maximum expenditure target set out in GPS 2024. This expenditure aligns with the confirmed sources of funding and financing set out in GPS 2024 and summarised above. Actual expenditure can vary, depending on a variety of factors impacting project delivery, for example resource consenting; resource availability; weather; sequencing of work by councils, etc.

A second line showing NZTA’s current view of investment intentions based on: the programme of works signalled in the GPS 2024; and delivery of the major transport projects (including Roads of National Significance, Northwest Rapid Transit Corridor and the Waitematā Harbour Connections project). To deliver this intended programme requires access to significant additional funding or financing, as illustrated by the gap between expenditure intentions and the current net revenue forecast.

The latter forecast is indicative only. In practice, investment will need to be prioritised based on the level of available funding and financing, as well as capacity for project delivery.